30 November 2016
A link for all my 2nd amendment buds ...
<A HREF="http://www.gunauction.com/">Guns For Sale at GunAuction.com</A>
19 November 2016
On the soapbox ... screaming, as it were
It's been a while since I have been on here ... sorry. I handle 'most' of my thoughts on Facebook small amounts at a time. The longer ones I send out in my 'Sunday Letters'. But "furor scribendi" [Latin for - the rage to write, ... a malady I sometimes am afflicted by] has arisen and here I am.
The election has passed and the cry-baby Liberals are out in force. Nothing pleases them more than a opportunity to rape, pillage, burn and generally raise holy hell for injustices both real and imagined. Besides, what better time to loot stores than just before Christmas ... helps put a dent in those gift buying woes. Get a few dozen pair of high priced sneakers, a TV or two, and that new video game player for cousin Joe. Hell ... better than spending money. Besides, they may have to get a job after the election, or move to Canada, or go back to where-ever they came here from.
Now ... before you get your fruit-of-the-looms in a tizzy ...
I am not a racist, a homophobe, or a woman beater. I am a conservative white man certainly ... but my wife, my ex-wife, my children, and my grandchildren are mostly Hispanic, as are a majority of my friends, and many of my friends/family are Liberal. I am heterosexual, but two of our dearest best friends are not and they are two of the greatest people I know. My (late) nephew Marco was gay and had a really great companion whom I really liked. My granddaughter Jasmine (whom I love dearly) is gay. I am not bragging or complaining ... merely stating facts. I am a practicing minister (have a wedding in Amado, Az. today in fact), but I hold no animosity against any other practitioners of any religion (or atheists, agnostics, humanists, druids, et al). I do draw the line when it comes to them attempting to force their life choices on me, or trying to change the laws, attitudes, and/or customs of my country to suit themselves. I do not get along well with Jehovah's Witnesses, radical Muslims, or Mormon missionaries. Believe what you want, but DO NOT try to convert me or tell me what religion, political party, or ideology I should subscribe to.
There are people out there crying for folks to get guns and kill white people, cops, and our President-elect. What would those same people think or say if I (or anyone) called for people to get guns and kill blacks, Hispanics, or our current President? The proverbial shoe would be on a different foot then I guess!
I belong to the only group in America that it is politically correct to laugh at, make jokes about, and want to kill. Poor white, Republican, gun-owning, work-every-day, redneck, Americans.
I read in the paper that a designer, who dresses the current First Lady, is refusing to dress the upcoming First Lady and is calling on all other designers to do the same. Wait a bleeding minute there heifer ... aren't you the same people who drove a mom and pop bakery out of business because they would not decorate a "gay" wedding cake? Are there different standards for you guys on the Left than for us poor, uneducated slobs on the Right?
I hear that we Republicans are the descendants of slave owners and we were/are responsible for the Civil War. That is a fallacy ... Lincoln was a Republican, as was U.S. Grant. Am I a southerner? Yes, Scots-Irish Virginia born to a cotton mill working mother who raised her boys to think for themselves. I was a Kennedy Democrat in 1960 because they believed what I believed. Now, I am a Trump Republican ... because he believes in the things that I do. I believe in "LEGAL" immigration, a strong military, the draft, limited Federal government. I believe that if you come to the United States to live and work, you should abide by our laws and our customs. If you want Sharia Law ... live in a place that has or agrees with Sharia Law. If you think that my Social Security is a 'hand-out' when I have paid into it all my life (in fact, although I am drawing Social Security, I still have to pay into it when I work) ... you are delusional. If you think that non-working, dope dealing, gang-bangers deserve hand outs so they can live better than I do ... you are delusional. If you think that birth control is abortion and not just choosing not to have sex or using birth control, ... you are delusional.
I fought for my nation, as did both my brothers. I came home to the U.S. in 1970 and got spit on in the airport. I was shunned in most bars/clubs in Tucson because I was in the military. I didn't need a 'Safe Place' to cry and/or mourn like these folks who cannot get over the fact that their candidate lost. I sucked it up and got on with it. I have not agreed withe the current POTUS for 8 years ... but I did not burn down businesses or cars or call for murder or assassination ... I sucked it up and got on with it. In a way, I am glad that I am 71 years old and my days are numbered. Life in these old United States ain't what it used to be.
The election has passed and the cry-baby Liberals are out in force. Nothing pleases them more than a opportunity to rape, pillage, burn and generally raise holy hell for injustices both real and imagined. Besides, what better time to loot stores than just before Christmas ... helps put a dent in those gift buying woes. Get a few dozen pair of high priced sneakers, a TV or two, and that new video game player for cousin Joe. Hell ... better than spending money. Besides, they may have to get a job after the election, or move to Canada, or go back to where-ever they came here from.
Now ... before you get your fruit-of-the-looms in a tizzy ...
I am not a racist, a homophobe, or a woman beater. I am a conservative white man certainly ... but my wife, my ex-wife, my children, and my grandchildren are mostly Hispanic, as are a majority of my friends, and many of my friends/family are Liberal. I am heterosexual, but two of our dearest best friends are not and they are two of the greatest people I know. My (late) nephew Marco was gay and had a really great companion whom I really liked. My granddaughter Jasmine (whom I love dearly) is gay. I am not bragging or complaining ... merely stating facts. I am a practicing minister (have a wedding in Amado, Az. today in fact), but I hold no animosity against any other practitioners of any religion (or atheists, agnostics, humanists, druids, et al). I do draw the line when it comes to them attempting to force their life choices on me, or trying to change the laws, attitudes, and/or customs of my country to suit themselves. I do not get along well with Jehovah's Witnesses, radical Muslims, or Mormon missionaries. Believe what you want, but DO NOT try to convert me or tell me what religion, political party, or ideology I should subscribe to.
There are people out there crying for folks to get guns and kill white people, cops, and our President-elect. What would those same people think or say if I (or anyone) called for people to get guns and kill blacks, Hispanics, or our current President? The proverbial shoe would be on a different foot then I guess!
I belong to the only group in America that it is politically correct to laugh at, make jokes about, and want to kill. Poor white, Republican, gun-owning, work-every-day, redneck, Americans.
I read in the paper that a designer, who dresses the current First Lady, is refusing to dress the upcoming First Lady and is calling on all other designers to do the same. Wait a bleeding minute there heifer ... aren't you the same people who drove a mom and pop bakery out of business because they would not decorate a "gay" wedding cake? Are there different standards for you guys on the Left than for us poor, uneducated slobs on the Right?
I hear that we Republicans are the descendants of slave owners and we were/are responsible for the Civil War. That is a fallacy ... Lincoln was a Republican, as was U.S. Grant. Am I a southerner? Yes, Scots-Irish Virginia born to a cotton mill working mother who raised her boys to think for themselves. I was a Kennedy Democrat in 1960 because they believed what I believed. Now, I am a Trump Republican ... because he believes in the things that I do. I believe in "LEGAL" immigration, a strong military, the draft, limited Federal government. I believe that if you come to the United States to live and work, you should abide by our laws and our customs. If you want Sharia Law ... live in a place that has or agrees with Sharia Law. If you think that my Social Security is a 'hand-out' when I have paid into it all my life (in fact, although I am drawing Social Security, I still have to pay into it when I work) ... you are delusional. If you think that non-working, dope dealing, gang-bangers deserve hand outs so they can live better than I do ... you are delusional. If you think that birth control is abortion and not just choosing not to have sex or using birth control, ... you are delusional.
I fought for my nation, as did both my brothers. I came home to the U.S. in 1970 and got spit on in the airport. I was shunned in most bars/clubs in Tucson because I was in the military. I didn't need a 'Safe Place' to cry and/or mourn like these folks who cannot get over the fact that their candidate lost. I sucked it up and got on with it. I have not agreed withe the current POTUS for 8 years ... but I did not burn down businesses or cars or call for murder or assassination ... I sucked it up and got on with it. In a way, I am glad that I am 71 years old and my days are numbered. Life in these old United States ain't what it used to be.
09 July 2016
MY 2 cents ... for what it's worth !
In wake of all the violence abounding in America of late, I thought that I'd get my two cents in ... it is MY blog after all. After the Dallas shooting of Law Enforcement officers ... I must comment. There is NO excuse for this. This is NOT an act of protest!!! This is an act of terrorism and is cold blooded murder. Anyone who thinks that is a backlash of recent "officer involved" shooting is seriously deluded ... up to and including our Muslim Commander-in-Chief. And ... listen up people ... GUNS DID NOT CAUSE this violence, and stricter gun laws on law abiding citizens will not quell these incidents of violence. There are numerous shootings and deaths (the greatest amount of them are Black-on-Black shootings) ... DAILY ... in this country. Would you care to make a guess on how many involve citizens who have LEGALLY purchased a firearm? Gun Control laws do not affect a criminal's ability to possess firearms, they only inhibit the law abiding citizen from possessing a means of defending himself and his family (and other potential victims). Look at Nazi Germany, Stalinist Russia, and all other totalitarian governments ... their success DEPENDED on an unarmed populace, and that is where our present leadership is attempting to take us! I own a gun and, if I could afford it, I would have a huge stockpile of larger guns and a huge stockpile of ammo ... to protect myself and my loved ones from my government and the ones whom my government protects.
μολὼν λαβέ (MOLON LABE !!)
μολὼν λαβέ (MOLON LABE !!)
17 May 2016
The Future ???
THIS IS A VERY
INTERESTING ARTICLE - WORTH YOUR TIME TO READ.
In the 1990s Ray Kurzweil, MIT Professor, wrote "The
Age of Intelligent Machines" and "The Age of Spiritual
Machines". In these works he gave us a glimpse of the future. What he described was amazing but also, as time has shown, true in many
ways. The short narrative below goes one step further and describes a
near term future that we can see unfolding right now. Please take a
moment and read this overview. For some it will be terrifying!
In 1998, KODAK had 170,000 EMPLOYEES and sold 85% of ALL Photo Paper WORLDWIDE.
Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. What
happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years - and most people don't see it coming. Did you
think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on paper film
again? Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones
only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential
technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way
superior and got mainstream in only a few short years.
It will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. WELCOME TO THE 4TH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION.
It will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. WELCOME TO THE 4TH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION.
Welcome to the
Exponential Age. Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next
5-10 years. Uber is just a software tool,
they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the
world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel
company in the world, although they don't own any properties.
Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the
world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years
earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because
of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far
for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with
70% accuracy when done by humans. SO IF YOU STUDY LAW, STOP IMMEDIATELY. There will be 90% less
lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. Watson already helps
nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now
has a face pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than
humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.
Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for the
public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You
don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it
will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will
not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive
while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's license and will never own a
car. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for
that. We can transform former parking space into parks. 1.2 million people
die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every
100,000 km, with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 10
million km. That will save a million lives each year. Most car
companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the
evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on
wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they are
completely terrified of Tesla. Insurance companies will have massive
trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x
cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.
REAL ESTATE WILL CHANGE: Because if you can work while you commute, people
will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood. Electric
cars will become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy because
all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and
clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you
can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed
worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so much that all
coal companies will be out of business by 2025.
WATER: With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water.
Desalination now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have
scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can
have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
HEALTH: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There
will be companies who will build a medical device (called the
"Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes
your retina scan, your blood sample and you breathe into it. It then analyses
54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so
in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class
medicine, nearly for free.
3D PRINTING: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000$ to
$400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major
shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts are already 3D
printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates
the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the
past. At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning
possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at
home. In China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-story office
building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D
printed.
BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself:
"in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer is
yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with your
phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th century
is doomed in to failure in the 21st century.
WORK: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will
be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in
such a small time.
AGRICULTURE: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in
3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working
all days on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The first petri dish
produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in
2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows.
Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several startups who
will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein
than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
There is an app called "moodies"
which can already tell in which mood you are. Until 2020 there will be
apps that can tell by your facial expressions if you are lying. Imagine a
political debate where it's being displayed when they are telling the truth and
when not.
Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and
might even become the default reserve currency.
LONGEVITY: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year. Four
years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The
increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one year
increase per year. So we all might live for a long, long time, probably way
more than 100.
EDUCATION: The cheapest smartphones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia. Until
2020, 70% of all humans will own a smartphone. That means, everyone has
the same access to world class education. Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in First
World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia and
will release it in Arabic, Swahili and Chinese this summer, because I see an
enormous potential. We will give the English app for free, so that children in
Africa can become fluent in English within half a year.
10 May 2016
The Danger of the “Black Lives Matter” Movement
This is a MUST-READ article for anyone concerned with the matter of Black Lives Matter, and for any who support our nation's Law Officers. It is from a publication called imprimis which is published by Hillsdale College. All Bold type is mine.
Heather Mac Donald is the
Thomas W. Smith Fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor of City Journal. She earned a B.A.
from Yale University, an M.A. in English from Cambridge University, and a J.D.
from Stanford Law School. She writes for several newspapers and journals,
including The Wall Street Journal,
The New York Times, The New Criterion, and Public Interest, and is the author
of three books, including Are Cops
Racist? and The War
on Cops: How The New Attack on Law and Order Makes Everyone Less Safe
(forthcoming June 2016).
The following is
adapted from a speech delivered on April 27, 2016, at Hillsdale College’s Allan
P. Kirby, Jr. Center for Constitutional Studies and Citizenship in Washington,
D.C., as part of the AWC Family Foundation Lecture Series.
For almost two
years, a protest movement known as “Black Lives Matter” has convulsed the
nation. Triggered by the police shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson,
Missouri, in August 2014, the Black Lives Matter movement holds that racist
police officers are the greatest threat facing young black men today. This
belief has triggered riots, “die-ins,” the murder and attempted murder of
police officers, a campaign to eliminate traditional grand jury proceedings
when police use lethal force, and a presidential task force on policing.
Even though the
U.S. Justice Department has resoundingly dis-proven the lie that a pacific
Michael Brown was shot in cold blood while trying to surrender, Brown is still
venerated as a martyr. And now police officers are backing off of proactive
policing in the face of the relentless venom directed at them on the street and
in the media. As a result, violent crime is on the rise.
The need is urgent,
therefore, to examine the Black Lives Matter movement’s central thesis—that
police pose the greatest threat to young black men. I propose two counter
hypotheses: first, that there is no government agency more dedicated to the
idea that black lives matter than the police; and second, that we have been
talking obsessively about alleged police racism over the last 20 years in order
to avoid talking about a far larger problem—black-on-black crime.
Let’s be clear at
the outset: police have an indefeasible obligation to treat everyone with
courtesy and respect, and to act within the confines of the law. Too often,
officers develop a hardened, obnoxious attitude. It is also true that being
stopped when you are innocent of any wrongdoing is infuriating, humiliating,
and sometimes terrifying. And needless to say, every unjustified police
shooting of an unarmed civilian is a stomach-churning tragedy.
Given the history
of racism in this country and the complicity of the police in that history,
police shootings of black men are particularly and understandably fraught. That
history informs how many people view the police. But however intolerable and
inexcusable every act of police brutality is, and while we need to make sure
that the police are properly trained in the Constitution and in courtesy, there
is a larger reality behind the issue of policing, crime, and race that remains
a taboo topic. The problem of black-on-black crime is an uncomfortable truth,
but unless we acknowledge it, we won’t get very far in understanding patterns
of policing.
Every
year, approximately 6,000 blacks are murdered. This is a number greater
than white and Hispanic homicide victims combined, even though blacks are only
13 percent of the national population. Blacks are killed at six times the
rate of whites and Hispanics combined. In Los Angeles, blacks between the ages
of 20 and 24 die at a rate 20 to 30 times the national mean. Who is killing
them? Not the police, and not white civilians, but other blacks. The
astronomical black death-by-homicide rate is a function of the black crime
rate. Black males between the ages of 14 and 17 commit homicide at ten times
the rate of white and Hispanic male teens combined. Blacks of all ages commit
homicide at eight times the rate of whites and Hispanics combined, and at
eleven times the rate of whites alone.
The
police could end all lethal uses of force tomorrow and it would have
at most a trivial effect on the black death-by-homicide rate. The nation’s
police killed 987 civilians in 2015, according to a database compiled by The Washington Post. Whites were 50
percent—or 493—of those victims, and blacks were 26 percent—or 258. Most of
those victims of police shootings, white and black, were armed or otherwise
threatening the officer with potentially lethal force.
The
black violent crime rate would actually predict that more than 26 percent of police
victims would be black. Officer use of force will occur where the police
interact most often with violent criminals, armed suspects, and those resisting
arrest, and that is in black neighborhoods. In America’s 75 largest counties in
2009, for example, blacks constituted 62 percent of all robbery defendants, 57
percent of all murder defendants, 45 percent of all assault defendants—but only
15 percent of the population.
Moreover,
40 percent of all cop killers have been black over the last decade. And a
larger proportion of white and Hispanic homicide deaths are a result of police
killings than black homicide deaths—but don’t expect to hear that from the
media or from the political enablers of the Black Lives Matter movement. Twelve
percent of all white and Hispanic homicide victims are killed by police
officers, compared to four percent of all black homicide victims. If we’re
going to have a “Lives Matter” anti-police movement, it would be more
appropriately named “White and Hispanic Lives Matter.”
Standard
anti-cop ideology, whether emanating from the ACLU or the academy, holds that
law enforcement actions are racist if they don’t mirror population data. New
York City illustrates why that expectation is so misguided. Blacks make up 23
percent of New York City’s population, but they commit 75 percent of all
shootings, 70 percent of all robberies, and 66 percent of all violent crime,
according to victims and witnesses. Add Hispanic shootings and you account for
98 percent of all illegal gunfire in the city. Whites are 33 percent of the city’s
population, but they commit fewer than two percent of all shootings, four
percent of all robberies, and five percent of all violent crime. These
disparities mean that virtually every time the police in New York are called
out on a gun run—meaning that someone has just been shot—they are being
summoned to minority neighborhoods looking for minority suspects.
Officers
hope against hope that they will receive descriptions of white shooting
suspects, but it almost never happens. This incidence of crime means that
innocent black men have a much higher chance than innocent white men of being
stopped by the police because they match the description of a suspect. This is
not something the police choose. It is a reality forced on them by
the facts of crime.
The
geographic disparities are also huge. In Brownsville, Brooklyn, the per
capita shooting rate is 81 times higher than in nearby Bay Ridge, Brooklyn—the
first neighborhood predominantly black, the second neighborhood predominantly
white and Asian. As a result, police presence and use of proactive tactics are
much higher in Brownsville than in Bay Ridge. Every time there is a shooting,
the police will flood the area looking to make stops in order to avert a
retaliatory shooting. They are in Brownsville not because of racism, but
because they want to provide protection to its many law-abiding residents who
deserve safety.
Who
are some of the victims of elevated urban crime? On March 11, 2015, as
protesters were once again converging on the Ferguson police headquarters
demanding the resignation of the entire department, a six-year-old boy named
Marcus Johnson was killed a few miles away in a St. Louis park, the victim of a
drive-by shooting. No one protested his killing. Al Sharpton did not demand a
federal investigation. Few people outside of his immediate community know his
name.
Ten
children under the age of ten were killed in Baltimore last year. In Cleveland,
three children five and younger were killed in September. A seven-year-old boy
was killed in Chicago over the Fourth of July weekend by a bullet intended for
his father. In November, a nine-year-old in Chicago was lured into an alley and
killed by his father’s gang enemies; the father refused to cooperate with the
police. In August, a nine-year-old girl was doing her homework on her mother’s
bed in Ferguson when a bullet fired into the house killed her. In Cincinnati in
July, a four-year-old girl was shot in the head and a six-year-old girl was
left paralyzed and partially blind from two separate drive-by shootings. This
mindless violence seems almost to be regarded as normal, given the lack of
attention it receives from the same people who would be out in droves if any of
these had been police shootings. As horrific as such stories are, crime rates
were much higher 20 years ago. In New York City in 1990, for example, there
were 2,245 homicides. In 2014 there were 333—a decrease of 85 percent. The drop
in New York’s crime rate is the steepest in the nation, but crime has fallen at
a historic rate nationwide as well—by about 40 percent—since the early 1990s.
The greatest beneficiaries of these declining rates have been minorities. Over
10,000 minority males alive today in New York would be dead if the city’s
homicide rate had remained at its early 1990s level.
What
is behind this historic crime drop? A policing revolution that began in New
York and spread nationally, and that is now being threatened. Starting in 1994,
the top brass of the NYPD embraced the then-radical idea that the police can
actually prevent crime, not just respond to it. They started gathering and
analyzing crime data on a daily and then hourly basis. They looked for
patterns, and strategized on tactics to try to quell crime outbreaks as they
were emerging. Equally important, they held commanders accountable for crime in
their jurisdictions. Department leaders started meeting weekly with precinct
commanders to grill them on crime patterns on their watch. These weekly
accountability sessions came to be known as Compstat. They were ruthless,
high tension affairs. If a commander was not fully informed about every local
crime outbreak and ready with a strategy to combat it, his career was in
jeopardy.
Compstat
created a sense of urgency about fighting crime that has never left the NYPD.
For decades, the rap against the police was that they ignored crime in minority
neighborhoods. Compstat keeps New York commanders focused like a laser beam on
where people are being victimized most, and that is in minority communities.
Compstat spread nationwide. Departments across the country now send officers to
emerging crime hot spots to try to interrupt criminal behavior before it
happens.
In
terms of economic stimulus alone, no other government program has come close to
the success of data-driven policing. In New York City, businesses that had
shunned previously drug-infested areas now set up shop there, offering
residents a choice in shopping and creating a demand for workers. Senior
citizens felt safe to go to the store or to the post office to pick up their Social
Security checks. Children could ride their bikes on city sidewalks without
their mothers worrying that they would be shot. But the crime victories of the
last two decades, and the moral support on which law and order depends, are now
in jeopardy thanks to the falsehoods of the Black Lives Matter movement.
Police
operating in inner-city neighborhoods now find themselves routinely surrounded
by cursing, jeering crowds when they make a pedestrian stop or try to arrest a
suspect. Sometimes bottles and rocks are thrown. Bystanders stick cell phones
in the officers’ faces, daring them to proceed with their duties. Officers are
worried about becoming the next racist cop of the week and possibly losing
their livelihood thanks to an incomplete cell phone video that inevitably fails
to show the antecedents to their use of force. Officer use of force is never
pretty, but the public is clueless about how hard it is to subdue a suspect who
is determined to resist arrest.
As a
result of the anti-cop campaign of the last two years and the resulting
push-back in the streets, officers in urban areas are cutting back on precisely
the kind of policing that led to the crime decline of the 1990s and 2000s. Arrests
and summons are down, particularly for low-level offenses. Police officers
continue to rush to 911 calls when there is already a victim. But when it comes
to making discretionary stops—such as getting out of their cars and questioning
people hanging out on drug corners at 1:00 a.m.—many cops worry that doing
so could put their careers on the line. Police officers are, after all, human.
When they are repeatedly called racist for stopping and questioning suspicious
individuals in high-crime areas, they will perform less of those stops. That is
not only understandable—in a sense, it is how things should work. Policing is political.
If a powerful political block has denied the legitimacy of assertive policing,
we will get less of it.
On the
other hand, the people demanding that the police back off are by no means
representative of the entire black community. Go to any police-neighborhood
meeting in Harlem, the South Bronx, or South Central Los Angeles, and you will
invariably hear variants of the following: “We want the dealers off the
corner.” “You arrest them and they’re back the next day.” “There are kids
hanging out on my stoop. Why can’t you arrest them for loitering?” “I
smell weed in my hallway. Can’t you do something?” I met an elderly cancer
amputee in the Mount Hope section of the Bronx who was terrified to go to
her lobby mailbox because of the young men trespassing there and selling
drugs. The only time she felt safe was when the police were there. “Please,
Jesus,” she said to me, “send more police!” The irony is that the police cannot
respond to these heartfelt requests for order without generating the racially
disproportionate statistics that will be used against them in an ACLU or
Justice Department lawsuit.
Unfortunately,
when officers back off in high crime neighborhoods, crime shoots through the
roof. Our country is in the midst of the first sustained violent crime spike in
two decades. Murders rose nearly 17 percent in the nation’s 50 largest cities
in 2015, and it was in cities with large black populations where the violence
increased the most. Baltimore’s per capita homicide rate last year was the
highest in its history. Milwaukee had its deadliest year in a decade, with a 72
percent increase in homicides. Homicides in Cleveland increased 90 percent over
the previous year. Murders rose 83 percent in Nashville, 54 percent in
Washington, D.C., and 61 percent in Minneapolis. In Chicago, where pedestrian
stops are down by 90 percent, shootings were up 80 percent through March 2016.
I
first identified the increase in violent crime in May 2015 and dubbed it “the
Ferguson effect.” My diagnosis set off a firestorm of controversy on the
anti-cop Left and in criminology circles. Despite that furor, FBI Director
James Comey confirmed the Ferguson effect in a speech at the University of
Chicago Law School last October. Comey decried the “chill wind” that had been
blowing through law enforcement over the previous year, and attributed the
sharp rise in homicides and shootings to the campaign against cops. Several
days later, President Obama had the temerity to rebuke Comey, accusing him
(while leaving him unnamed) of “cherry-pick[ing] data” and using “anecdotal
evidence to drive policy [and] feed political agendas.” The idea that President
Obama knows more about crime and policing than his FBI director is of course
ludicrous. But the President thought it necessary to take Comey down, because
to recognize the connection between proactive policing and public safety
undermines the entire premise of the anti-cop Left: that the police oppress
minority communities rather than bring them surcease from disorder.
As
crime rates continue to rise, the overwhelming majority of victims are, as
usual, black—as are their assailants. But police officers are coming under attack
as well. In August 2015, an officer in Birmingham, Alabama, was beaten
unconscious by a convicted felon after a car stop. The suspect had grabbed the
officer’s gun, as Michael Brown had tried to do in Ferguson, but the officer
hesitated to use force against him for fear of being charged with racism. Such
incidents will likely multiply as the media continues to amplify the Black
Lives Matter activists’ poisonous slander against the nation’s police forces.
The
number of police officers killed in shootings more than doubled during the
first three months of 2016. In fact, officers are at much greater risk from
blacks than unarmed blacks are from the police. Over the last decade, an
officer’s chance of getting killed by a black has been 18.5 times higher than
the chance of an unarmed black getting killed by a cop.
The
favorite conceit of the Black Lives Matter movement is, of course, the racist
white officer gunning down a black man. According to available studies, it is a
canard. A March 2015 Justice Department report on the Philadelphia Police
Department found that black and Hispanic officers were much more likely than
white officers to shoot blacks based on “threat misperception,” i.e., the
incorrect belief that a civilian is armed. A study by University of
Pennsylvania criminologist Greg Ridgeway, formerly acting director of the
National Institute of Justice, has found that black officers in the NYPD were
3.3 times more likely to fire their weapons at shooting scenes than other
officers present. The April 2015 death of drug dealer Freddie Gray in Baltimore
has been slotted into the Black Lives Matter master narrative, even though the
three most consequential officers in Gray’s arrest and transport are black.
There is no evidence that a white drug dealer in Gray’s circumstances, with a
similar history of faking injuries, would have been treated any differently.
We
have been here before. In the 1960s and early 1970s, black and white radicals
directed hatred and occasional violence against the police. The difference
today is that anti-cop ideology is embraced at the highest reaches of the
establishment: by the President, by his Attorney General, by college
presidents, by foundation heads, and by the press. The presidential candidates
of one party are competing to see who can out-demagogue President Obama’s
persistent race-based calumnies against the criminal justice system, while
those of the other party have not emphasized the issue as they might have.
I
don’t know what will end the current frenzy against the police. What I do know
is that we are playing with fire, and if it keeps spreading, it will be hard to
put out.
Imprimis is the free monthly speech digest
of Hillsdale College and is dedicated to educating citizens and promoting civil
and religious liberty by covering cultural, economic, political, and
educational issues. The content of Imprimis is drawn from speeches delivered to
Hillsdale College-hosted events. First published in 1972, Imprimis is one of
the most widely circulated opinion publications in the nation with over 3.4
million subscribers.
The opinions expressed in Imprimis are not
necessarily the views of Hillsdale College.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)